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Legalization Has A Fighting Chance In All Five States According To Polls

The latest polling in all five states that will vote on initiatives to legalize the recreational use of cannabis shows the "yes" camps in the race in all states - leading in some, and only slightly behind in others.



Support for Arizona's legalization initiative - Proposition 205 - is still under 50 percent, according to the latest poll by Data Orbital. In early November, 48 percent supported the legalization measure, up from 45 percent in late October. The good news is the numbers are on the rise heading into Election Day. According to a poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights at the end of September, 43 percent of likely voters support the initiative while 47 percent are opposed and 10 percent are undecided.

Those numbers suggest that support has dropped since August, when a poll conducted by the Arizona Republic showed that 50 percent of respondents supported Prop 205 and only 40 percent were against it. But the polls in the Grand Canyon State have been all over the map. Last July, OH Predictive Insights found that only 39 percent of voters supported the initiative while 52.5 percent were against. 

So it's tough to tell for certain if support is rising or falling. Uncertainty is the only thing that remains consistent on this issue in Arizona. 



The poll numbers in California continue to reflect solid majority support for Proposition 64. The latest poll conducted by USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times shows the "Yes" side with 58 percent support. 

A poll conducted in the second week of September by Field Poll/Institute of Governmental Studies at UC Berkeley showed 60 percent of potential voters supported the legalization measure, with only 31 percent saying they'd vote no.

In the first week of September, the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll showed 58 per cent of Californians will vote yes in November, with only 34 percent saying they would vote no. The survey questioned 1,879 registered voters. Jon Cohen, an executive for SurveyMonkey, the firm that conducted the poll, told the Times that people have seen the legalization of recreational cannabis work out in states like Colorado, Oregon and Washington state. 

“Some of the calamitous predictions of legalization opponents haven’t come to pass [in other states]," Cohen said. The poll that shows the least support for legalization is still above the 50 percent level. A survey released last week by KPIX 5/SurveyUSA showed 52 percent in favor of Proposition 64, with 41 against.



A new poll by the Portland Press Herald shows support for legalization hovering at 50 percent, down from earlier polls like one by the University of New Hampshire survey center which shows that a majority of Maine voters would support legalization. 53 per cent of poll respondents would vote yes on Question 1, according to that poll, with 38 percent saying they would vote no.



The latest poll out of the Western New England University Polling Institute in Massachusetts suggests that 61 per cent will vote to legalize marijuana through Question 4.

That's up from a poll by WBUR/MassINC Polling Group, 55 percent of Mass residents support the legalization initiative, while only 40 percent are opposed. That leaves 5 percent of voters undecided.

Those numbers suggest that undecideds are leaning toward "yes." Last month, a poll by WBZ-TV, WBZ NewsRadio, and UMass Amherst showed that 53 percent of potential voters supported the initiative while 40 percent were opposed and 7 percent were undecided.

And support for legalizing cannabis has been consistently growing in the Bay State. Earlier last month, a poll conducted by WBUR/MassINC pegged support for legalization at 50 percent and opposition at 45 percent. So if these trends continue, Question 4 could pass with easily. But we'll have to wait until Election Day to find out if all those supporters showed up to cast ballots. 



Support for legalization has dipped below 50 percent, according to the latest poll by Bendixen & Amandi International. Only 47 percent of potential voters say they'll vote "yes" on Question 2. This is a steep decline from earlier polls like one by by Suffolk University, conducted at the end of August. It shows the "yes" side with a healthy lead over the "no" side: 57 percent in support, 33 percent against. A poll released September 21 by KTNV/Rasmussen Reports showed that 53 per cent of potential voters support the legalization initiative, with 39 per cent opposed. A poll in July by the same group showed that 50 per cent supported Question 2, with 41 per cent against.

h/t Arizona RepublicThe Daily Chronic, Reason.comWCSH Portland, Los Angeles Times, CBS Boston, The Washington Post, Portland Press Herald.


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