Will Bernie Sanders' Campaign End Today?

Beware the ides of March, Bernie. That's the message Hillary Clinton's campaign had for rival Bernie Sanders following the former secretary of state's triumphant Super Tuesday showing. Clinton won seven of the 11 states up for grabs on Mar. 1, claiming the big delegate states like Texas and Georgia.

On Mar. 2, Eric Bradner of CNN reported that Hillary's campaign had pencilled in March 15 as the day they would knock Sanders out of the race. That's when delegate-rich states including Florida, Ohio and Illinois will hold primaries that could give Clinton a stranglehold on the nomination. If that happens, the possibility of a comeback becomes "less and less likely" for Sanders, according to Clinton spokesman Brian Fallon.

But that prognostication was made while the campaign still expected to take Michigan on Mar. 8. All bets might be off after Sanders narrowly edged Clinton in the Wolverine State. According to Bloomberg's latest analysis, Clinton is poised to win Florida and South Carolina handily while also taking Ohio by a strong margin. But Illinois is very much up for grabs while Missouri is leaning toward Bernie.

If that comes to pass, then the status quo will likely continue: Clinton would maintain a firm hold on the lead for the Democratic presidential nomination, but Sanders would still be hanging in there. But there's a chance that Clinton's hopes of a knockout punch will actually end with her camp getting blindsided again.

Leading up to the Michigan vote, Clinton looked like a shoo-in. But pollsters failed to gage support for Bernie accurately, and a number of other miscalculations led to what Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight called one of "the greatest polling errors in primary history."

So perhaps Hillary and the prognosticators are the ones who should really be wary of tomorrow's results.

h/t CNN, Five Thirty Eight, New York Times

banner image: Gage Skidmore / Flickr


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